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Decision analytics for owner-run businesses

Price, promote and plan with evidence, not guesswork.

Palisade turns your sales data into clear answers on pricing, promotions and demand, so your next decision rests on what your numbers actually show.

Free for our first three founding clients. Works with Square, Shopify, Toast and other POS systems.
ILLUSTRATIVE
WEEKLY UNITS · FORECAST
Actual Forecast Likely range
PEAK $4.00$4.25$4.50$4.75$5.00$5.25$5.50
Price where revenue peaks Other price points
PROMO W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10
True lift Would have sold anyway Expected baseline
POS systems supported
3
From data to report
48h
Until your data is deleted
30 days
For founding clients
$0
01 / SERVICES

Three questions every owner asks. Answered with your own data.

A

Pricing

What happens to sales if you raise or lower a price? We estimate how sensitive your customers are, product by product, so you can find the price that balances margin and volume.

B

Promotions

Did that sale actually work? We separate the true lift of a promotion from what would have sold anyway, and show what it cost you in margin.

C

Forecasting

How much will you sell next month? Demand forecasts with an honest range around them, so you can plan inventory and staffing without over- or under-buying.

02 / HOW IT WORKS

From raw sales data to a clear decision.

  1. Step 1: Send

    Export your sales history from your POS system. It takes about 10 minutes, and we never log in to your accounts.

  2. Step 2: Analyze

    We apply econometric methods to the question you care about, controlling for seasonality, trends and the noise that fools a spreadsheet.

  3. Step 3: Decide

    You get a plain-English summary: what the data says, how confident we are, and the options in front of you. The call stays yours.

03 / APPROACH

Analysis,
not advice.

Palisade answers operating questions about your business. We do not provide financial advice or auditing, and we will always tell you when the data cannot support a confident answer.

i.

Built for owners

No data team required. Results arrive as decisions you can act on, not dashboards to decode.

ii.

Uncertainty shown

Every estimate comes with a range, so you know how much weight to put on it.

iii.

Your data stays yours

Used only for your analysis and deleted within 30 days after. We never log in to your systems.

iv.

Rigorous methods

Grounded in econometrics: the same tools economists use to measure cause and effect.

04 / FOUNDING CLIENTS

Your first analysis is free.

We're taking on three founding clients. Send us your sales history and get three specific findings about your pricing, promotions or demand, at no cost.

  1. YOU SEND

    6 to 12 months of sales

    A few exports from your POS system. We'll send step-by-step instructions, or come by and help.

  2. WITHIN 48 HOURS

    A one-page report

    Three specific findings, each with what to try next and how sure we are.

  3. NO STRINGS

    The report is yours

    No cost, no new software, no commitment. If it's useful, paid analyses start at $750.

05 / TRY IT

Was your last promotion worth it?

A busier week is not always a more profitable one. Enter the numbers from a recent sale to see a quick estimate.

Your promotion numbers
A typical week at full price
Revenue for the promotion week
How much off the regular price
Share of the full price you keep after product costs

Estimated effect on profit: +$100, more profit than a normal week.

ESTIMATED EFFECT ON PROFIT
+$100
more profit than a normal week
Normal week profit$1,200
Promotion week profit$1,300
Change in items sold
+63%
Sales needed to break even
$1,600
Enter sales above zero, a discount under 100% and a margin between 0 and 100% to see your estimate.

A rough estimate. It assumes the whole week ran at the discount and ignores seasonality, sales pulled forward from other weeks and new repeat customers. A full analysis accounts for all of these.

Get the real answer: a free analysis
06 / QUESTIONS

Before you send anything.

What does it cost after the free analysis?

Nothing, unless you decide to keep going. Paid analyses start at $750, and ongoing monthly analysis starts at $350 a month with a three-month minimum. You get a fixed quote before any work starts.

How much of my time does it take?

About 10 minutes to export your sales history. We send step-by-step instructions for your POS system, or we can come by and do it with you. After that, it's a one-page report to read.

Is my data safe?

We use your data only for your analysis, never share or sell it, and delete it within 30 days after. We never ask for the login to your POS system.

Which POS systems do you work with?

Square, Shopify and Toast. If you use something else, email us. If it can export your sales to a spreadsheet, there's a good chance we can work with it.

What if my data is messy?

Most sales data is. Cleaning it is part of our work, and we'll tell you plainly if anything limits what the numbers can show.

Have a decision coming up?

Book a free call and tell us what you are weighing.

01 / 08 Intro